Basil Halperin

Home
Archive
About
New
AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years
Link: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8c7LycgtkypkgYjZx/agi-and-the-emh-markets-are-not-expecting-aligned-or Link 2…
 • 
Basil Halperin
April 2022
Monetary policy in 2050: evidence from Metaculus
Link: https://basilhalperin.com/essays/metaculus-monetary-policy.html
 • 
Basil Halperin
2
March 2022
Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problem
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/newcomb.html Twitter summary:
 • 
Basil Halperin
October 2021
Recessions are always and everywhere caused by monetary policy
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/recessions-are-always-everywhere-caused-by-monetary-policy.html Twitter summary:
 • 
Basil Halperin
August 2021
June 2021
New essay: It was a mistake to switch to sticky price models from sticky wage models
https://basilhalperin.com/essays/sticky-prices-vs-sticky-wages.html TLDR: Intuitively, wage stickiness seems more important than price stickiness The…
 • 
Basil Halperin
December 2020
New essay: What kind of ‘growth’ slowdowns should we care about?
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/why-percentage-growth.html TLDR: “GDP percentage growth is slowing down” emphatically does not mean that “the rate…
 • 
Basil Halperin
November 2020
Hello, world
Subscribe here to get email notifications when I publish new essays at basilhalperin.com/essays.
 • 
Basil Halperin
© 2023 Basil Halperin
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing