Basil Halperin

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Miscellaneous things I learned in [econ] grad school
Originally posted as a Twitter thread.
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Basil Halperin
Monetary policy in 2050: evidence from Metaculus
Link: https://basilhalperin.com/essays/metaculus-monetary-policy.html
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Basil Halperin
2
School and teen suicide
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/school-and-teen-suicide.html
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Basil Halperin
AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years
Link: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8c7LycgtkypkgYjZx/agi-and-the-emh-markets-are-not-expecting-aligned-or
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Basil Halperin
Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problem
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/newcomb.html
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Basil Halperin
1
How much of Chinese growth is TFP growth vs. merely Solow catch-up growth?
1. TFP growth was fast + was an important part of the miraculous decades of growth, which rejects crude Solow-ism; 2. TFP growth has slowed down since…
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Basil Halperin
The Solow Model is overrated (for explaining catch-up growth)
Do poor countries *really* grow fast because they’re just accumulating capital (building more machines, etc), a la Solow? Isn’t that kind of…
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Basil Halperin
Recessions are always and everywhere caused by monetary policy
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/recessions-are-always-everywhere-caused-by-monetary-policy.html
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Basil Halperin
New essay: It was a mistake to switch to sticky price models from sticky wage models
https://basilhalperin.com/essays/sticky-prices-vs-sticky-wages.html
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Basil Halperin
New essay: What kind of ‘growth’ slowdowns should we care about?
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/why-percentage-growth.html
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Basil Halperin
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Basil Halperin
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