Basil Halperin
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AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years
Link: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8c7LycgtkypkgYjZx/agi-and-the-emh-markets-are-not-expecting-aligned-or Link 2…
Mar 25, 2023
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Basil Halperin
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AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years
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April 2022
Monetary policy in 2050: evidence from Metaculus
Link: https://basilhalperin.com/essays/metaculus-monetary-policy.html
Apr 26, 2022
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Monetary policy in 2050: evidence from Metaculus
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March 2022
Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problem
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/newcomb.html Twitter summary:
Mar 31, 2022
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Basil Halperin
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Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problem
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October 2021
Recessions are always and everywhere caused by monetary policy
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/recessions-are-always-everywhere-caused-by-monetary-policy.html Twitter summary:
Oct 28, 2021
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Basil Halperin
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Recessions are always and everywhere caused by monetary policy
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August 2021
School and teen suicide
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/school-and-teen-suicide.html TLDR: Suicide rates for US teenagers are substantially higher during the school year…
Aug 11, 2021
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Basil Halperin
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School and teen suicide
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June 2021
New essay: It was a mistake to switch to sticky price models from sticky wage models
https://basilhalperin.com/essays/sticky-prices-vs-sticky-wages.html TLDR: Intuitively, wage stickiness seems more important than price stickiness The…
Jun 16, 2021
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Basil Halperin
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New essay: It was a mistake to switch to sticky price models from sticky wage models
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December 2020
New essay: What kind of ‘growth’ slowdowns should we care about?
https://www.basilhalperin.com/essays/why-percentage-growth.html TLDR: “GDP percentage growth is slowing down” emphatically does not mean that “the rate…
Dec 16, 2020
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Basil Halperin
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New essay: What kind of ‘growth’ slowdowns should we care about?
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November 2020
Hello, world
Subscribe here to get email notifications when I publish new essays at basilhalperin.com/essays.
Nov 10, 2020
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Basil Halperin
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Hello, world
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